With GT limited to a maximum of 20 points and RCB capable of reaching 21, the power has changed to give RCB the opportunity to finish the upper part of the table.
In a season in which the margins are thin and the playoff permutations change with each game, the Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) have just received a significant impulse in their campaign. The unexpected unexpected loss of Gujarat Titans (GT) against Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) has opened a real shot so that Rajat Patidar and his men ended at the top of the IPL table 2025 points.
The numbers before the game
In the direction of the Gujarat Titans, they were sitting quite at the top with 18 points of 12 games. They had the two games cushion to seal an end between two, and potentially the first place, with a victory in both exits enough to take them to 22 points. Meanwhile, RCB was placed secondly with 17 points of 12 games. The road to the top seemed steep, almost blocked, with the consistency of GT and the advantage of the net execution rate.
GT’s sliding changes the equation
But GT’s surprise loss to LSG changed the equation completely. They remain in 18 points after 13 games and now he only has a match in the League stage. That means that the maximum GT you can reach is 20 points.
RCB, with 17 points of 12 games, suddenly they find a golden opportunity. Two victories of their remaining games would catapult them 21, a count that only punjab kings can reach. Even then, they will have to win by significant margins in both games to overcome the NRR of RCB. In other words, RCB’s fate is now in his own hands.
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Even if RCB wins only one of its remaining two games and ends in 19, they can still expect to overcome the table, but only if GT loses its final game or if the rain plays Spoilsport, then the equation will be reduced to the net execution rate with the NRR of RCB that needs to overcome the GT +0.602 of GT. That, however, would require a significant margin of Victoria.
POS EQUIPO PWL NR NRR PUNTOS 1GT13940+0.60218 2RCB12831+0.48217 3PBKS12831+0.38917 4MI13850+1.29216 5DC136611-0.01913 6LSG13670-0.333712222222222 7KKR13562+0.19312 8SRH12471-1.0059 9RR144100-0.5498 10CSK133100-1.0306
A statistical perspective
Before GT’s defeat, they were strong contenders to finish first, with a potential count of 22 points. RCB, even with a perfect race, could only have reached 21. That essentially meant that GT only needed one more victory to eliminate RCB’s hopes to finish the upper part.
But now, with GT limited to a maximum of 20 and RCB capable of reaching 21, the power has changed. RCB will also temporarily rise to first place if they win their match against SRH on Friday.
The way ahead
The remaining two RCB games against SRH and LSG are now not just about sealing a place among the first four or the first: the possibility of overcoming the league is alive. With the shape of its side and the impulse of construction, they will seek to end strongly and take advantage of the advantage given by the stumble of GT.
In a season full of surprises, RCB now has the opportunity to write yours, when you go from the dark horses for the first place to the possible topers of the table, all thanks to an unexpected result in Lucknow.